Eight lectures - 2013 
Each about 24 slides

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Three Extreme Winter 1939/40, 1940/41 & 1941/42 Man Made
Due to Naval Warfare

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Only four months needed for a man made extreme winter

The naval war share – A proof in three steps!

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Cold Pole over Skagerrak  
Winter 1940/41.
Occupation of Norway contribute 
to extreme winter.

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Worst weather forecast ever finished Blitzkrieg on 5th December 1941!
How Hitler shot himself in the foot! Failure of meteorology - a boon to mankind!

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rd Extreme War Winter 1941/42 was predictable! 
Naval war caused weather that stopped Wehrmacht to reach Moscow

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Two World Wars! Two Climate Changes!
The Role of Naval Warfare!

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Did Naval War in the Pacific 
contribute to climate change?
PDO shift 1943/46 & Japan ’s record temperatures 1945. 

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Arctic Warming 1919-1939. 
Did Four Years Naval
War Started It?



By Dr. Arnd Bernaerts


HMS ‘Rawalpindi’ Sinking and Cyclone formation
 The Atlantic Drama 23 – 27 November 1939
Text excerpt form book: “Climate Change & Naval War” 2005

The first sea engagement of naval surface vessels in the North Atlantic occurred in late November 1939. This naval encounter was immediately followed by a rapid decrease in air pressure by more than 50 mb in 48 hours. Can a 15 minutes’ shelling of 600-pound shells produce sufficient ‘butterfly-effect’ to turn a modest low air pressure into a violent cyclone?

Weather was fair on Thursday the 23rd November 1939, Southeast of Iceland, about 200 miles west of the Faroe Island. The big and modern German battleships Gneisenau and Scharnhorst sailed in a flotilla of six naval vessels, when they saw HM Armed Merchant Cruiser Rawalpindi at some distance.







 The sea was smooth in the late afternoon over a distance of about 7,500 metres, clear enough for the enemies to shell each other, when a tremendous explosion broke the merchant cruiser in two. A shell from one of Scharnhorst’s 11-inch guns had hit the Rawalpindi’s forward magazine. The Royal Navy ordered all of their Home Fleet (ca. 20 big naval vessels) to sail to the scene of action to hunt the German flotilla. But a squall arose and the German ships escaped in stormy weather. 

The 16,697-ton Rawalpindi was no match for the 38,900-ton battleships each. The German battleship Scharnhorst  fired the first salvo over a distance of 10,000 yards (NYT, 28 November 1939), but when the enemy loomed large Rawalpindi sought protection by dropping smoke floats into the sea and in her defence, replied with all her four starboard six-inch (100-pound) guns.  (NYT, op.cit.). That was by far too little against the 11-inch (600-pound) shells German battleships could launch from their six guns in minute intervals. The battle was over at about 16-30 hours GMT. Germans took 28 survivors on board, from a total of only 39, and departed immediately before the first British cruiser (HMS Newcastle) arrived at the scene. “However, the other eleven crew members who had also escaped from the blazing ship were rescued by another British naval vessel. Those eleven who landed at Glasgow told the story of the battle.







The Rawalpindi burnt until eight o’clock Thursday night, they said, when she capsized on starboard side with all remaining crew(238 men). The cruiser attempted to follow German ships but weather was on the German side. Heavy rain and nightfall served as a shielding curtain between German raiders and the British warship”. (NYT, 28 November, 1939). Probably rain may have come down due to the shoot out and the squall that arose could have come from the Atlantic water that was ‘stirred’ and ‘turned’ at the scenes of action. The N-Atlantic south-west of Iceland is very cold and very deep. In autumn only the most upper sea surface has store a bit heat during the summer season (Figure 4)

Actually, within 24 hours of this occurrence, a low pressure (975 mb) appeared south of Iceland. In the early morning hours of 25 November 1939, the air pressure over Iceland fell by more than 8 mb in three hours. The cyclone moved to the Orkney Islands and was down to 945 mb on 26 November. This was a weather development not everyone would have predicted. But in the late autumn the Northern Atlantic is extremely sensitive and the weather depends on conditions of the sea surface

Link to book Chapter (2_21): Cyclones and shells – War at sea events





Material in English

New Book 2012
232 pages


"Failures of Meteorology!
Unable to Prevent Climate Changes and World Wars?"


Previous Essays


Atlantic SST, 1998

PDF            WORD

Black Sea, GKSS; 1997



Pacific SST, 1997

PDF             WORD

Pacon, ITLOS, 1997

PDF             WORD

Peace to Ocean, 1996

PDF             WORD

Sea Law Inst., 1994

PDF          WORD

Peace to Ocean, 1994

PDF           WORD

LOS, 1994

PDF          WORD

LOS, 1993

PDF             WORD

Climate, GKSS, 1992

PDF             WORD

Nature, Letter, 1992

PDF             WORD


Previous Comments

The cold March 2013 and any anthropogenic contribution
needs to be investigated and explained!

03 April 2013: Did the cold March 2013 came from Siberia ? A not well founded claim! (ocl_9-9) 
29 March 2013: Cold March 2013 in company with March 1942 & 1917 (co 10-2)  
27. March 2013: Strong Start – Strong Ending; Winter 2012/13. About the Role of North- and Baltic Sea (2007seatraining 1310)

 2013 snow in the UK and the North Sea . Did human activities contributed? (ocl 10_2) 
21 March 2013; Cold March 2013 in UK and North Europe science should be able to explain! (ocl_10-3) 
07 March 2013:  Winter 2012/13 for Northern Europe is over! The Baltic and North Sea will prevent a surprise in March! (ocl-10_4)
19. January 2013: Northern Europe's bulwark against Asian cold from 19-31. (oc_12-8)    

14. January 2013: North- and Baltic Sea influence Europe ’s winter 2012/2013 until now. (ocl_12_6) 
09 December 2012 (+ 21 & 26 Dec) : Are we heading to severe Baltic Sea ice conditions by 30th December 2012? (2007seatraining)